Lanzarote vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
TER
0 - 3
LAN
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 0
HUR
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
COR
2 - 2
LAN
29%
26%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 1
REA
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
VER
1 - 1
LAN
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 3
VER
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
RSI
0 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
UDT
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
SDT
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |