Guía vs Estrella CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
66.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 1
UDG
84%
11%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
UDG
0 - 0
VIC
27%
21%
53%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
UDG
0 - 3
LPM
4%
9%
88%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 1
UDG
53%
20%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
UDG
6 - 0
SOT
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EST
3 - 2
MAS
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LON
3 - 1
EST
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EST
3 - 3
LAG
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
LPM
1 - 0
EST
88%
8%
3%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EST
5 - 1
VIC
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |