UD Arenal vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Arenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ADC
1 - 1
UDA
28%
27%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UDA
2 - 1
MER
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PXD
3 - 0
UDA
75%
17%
8%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ATB
4 - 0
UDA
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
UDA
1 - 1
CAM
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PBL
0 - 1
ATB
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 1
PBL
48%
26%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PBL
3 - 2
ESP
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SRF
1 - 0
PBL
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PBL
0 - 1
SNF
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |