UCV vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
UCV
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
UCV
1 - 1
MIN
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
UCV
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
UCV
1 - 0
ANG
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
UCV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 2
LAR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
LAR
4 - 1
BOL
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
LAR
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 0
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |