UCV vs Monagas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UCV
2 - 2
CES
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CFC
2 - 0
UCV
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCV
0 - 3
CFC
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
UCV
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
UCV
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Monagas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
MIN
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |