UCV vs Barquisimeto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
ANG
0 - 1
UCV
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
UCV
2 - 0
LLA
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
YAR
0 - 1
UCV
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
UCV
2 - 1
AIF
37%
27%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FLD
0 - 0
UCV
75%
18%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
FLD
2 - 1
AIF
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
FLD
1 - 1
ANG
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 1
FLD
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
YAR
1 - 0
FLD
21%
27%
51%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FLD
0 - 0
UCV
75%
18%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |