UCLA FC vs UA Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
62%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCLA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
CDS
2 - 0
UCL
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 0
UCL
64%
20%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 0
UCL
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
UCL
0 - 2
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
UCL
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
UA Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
TRU
4 - 2
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TRU
4 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 4
TRU
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
YAR
1 - 1
TRU
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |