UCAM Murcia vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 0
UCA
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
UCA
29%
30%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 4
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
UCA
30%
30%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 4
ROD
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
MEL
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 1
ROD
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RJA
3 - 2
MEL
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 0
BET
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |