UCAM Murcia U19 B vs CFS El Progreso U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
13º
2º
46
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
56 | 56 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 12 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 1 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EFM
1 - 1
UCA
16%
18%
65%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 0
BEN
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
5 - 1
UCA
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 0
UCA
28%
23%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UCA
5 - 1
MMC
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CFS El Progreso U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 1
ACA
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MMC
0 - 4
PRO
43%
22%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
EFT
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CIE
0 - 1
PRO
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 2
CFC
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |