UC La Estrella vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CDZ
2 - 0
UCL
46%
27%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
UCL
0 - 0
IMP
44%
27%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
UCL
1 - 0
SNV
53%
25%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
JER
1 - 0
UCL
53%
27%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UCL
2 - 2
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DBN
1 - 0
CDB
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MIA
0 - 0
DBN
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DBN
1 - 4
CPC
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CER
0 - 1
DBN
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DBN
2 - 1
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |