AlbinoLeffe vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 0
ABN
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ABN
1 - 1
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
LIV
2 - 2
ABN
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ABN
1 - 1
SIE
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
REG
0 - 1
ABN
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 2
CTT
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 3
MOD
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |