UA Zacatecas vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
UAP
3 - 0
ZAC
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 2
ZAC
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 0
ZAC
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 0
ATC
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JAS
1 - 0
ZAC
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
IRA
0 - 2
RCU
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
IRA
2 - 2
UAP
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
IRA
3 - 1
PAT
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
IRA
1 - 0
TAM
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATC
2 - 2
IRA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |