Ua Ciudad Juárez vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
UAT
3 - 0
DUR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 4
LOB
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
DUR
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
DUR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |