UA Aragua vs Deportivo Lara II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Aragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
ARR
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MIR
4 - 0
ARA
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
MIR
12%
19%
69%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ITA
6 - 5
ARA
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |