Turen vs UA Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
UCL
2 - 1
TUR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
TUR
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
TUR
0 - 1
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TUR
1 - 1
BAR
24%
25%
50%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
TUR
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
UA Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
TRU
1 - 1
LAR
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 2
TRU
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TRU
0 - 3
ZUL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TRU
2 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TRU
0 - 3
TRU
31%
24%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |