Turan-T vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
8º
6º
31
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 0
TUR
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 2
SEB
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 0
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
ZIR
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
3 - 1
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
ZIR
24%
28%
47%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
SUM
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
SUM
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 0
FCK
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
SUM
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |