Tucanes FC vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 1
TUC
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
6 - 1
TUC
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TUC
2 - 4
ATL
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
TUC
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TUC
1 - 1
POR
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 1
ANG
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
0 - 0
LAR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
LAR
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 3
CAR
53%
23%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 6
LAR
17%
24%
60%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |