Tucanes FC vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 0
TUC
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TUC
3 - 3
MAR
43%
27%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TUC
0 - 1
ANG
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
UCV
3 - 0
ANG
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ZAM
2 - 0
UCV
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
UCV
2 - 1
CES
53%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UCV
1 - 1
YAR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
CDS
2 - 1
UCV
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |