TSV Sasel vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
9º
6º
34
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RUG
1 - 2
SAS
11%
16%
74%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
SAS
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 4
WAN
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 2
SAS
13%
17%
70%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 1
PAL
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATB
2 - 2
UTO
46%
20%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
3 - 5
ATB
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATB
3 - 4
BUC
46%
21%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 2
ATB
78%
13%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATB
5 - 1
DNB
57%
19%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |