Nordmark Satrup vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
60.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
11º
5º
62
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUB
0 - 5
NOR
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
HEI
23%
19%
58%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 0
NOR
44%
21%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
SVE
61%
18%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 2
NOR
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
TRT
79%
12%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
HOH
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 4
UNI
16%
17%
67%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
HEI
58%
20%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
0 - 4
UNI
17%
18%
66%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |