Trujillo vs Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 2
TRU
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TRU
1 - 0
SAG
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 4
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TRU
1 - 6
MOR
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 0
TRU
36%
24%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 2
VAL
27%
25%
48%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAL
67%
20%
13%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 0
ZUR
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 0
MAL
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 0
MON
15%
22%
64%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +3 |