Trujillo vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 2
TRU
70%
19%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 3
TRU
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 0
EMD
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
JER
1 - 0
TRU
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
PLA
39%
26%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
EMD
1 - 0
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
JER
37%
26%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARR
0 - 2
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDD
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |