Trindade vs Caldas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 0
TRI
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
TRI
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 0
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
CNO
6 - 0
APA
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
CNO
16%
20%
64%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
1 - 1
CNO
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
2 - 0
IPO
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
3 - 0
UMU
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |