Trento vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
4 - 1
TRE
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 0
TRE
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 1
COR
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BV5
2 - 0
TRE
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 2
BAR
12%
22%
66%
|
22 | 68 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 3
PER
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FAN
3 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
LEV
61%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |