Treibach vs Penk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 0
TRE
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 2
VOL
66%
20%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 1
TRE
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BLE
1 - 1
TRE
37%
26%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
UMA
0 - 0
TRE
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SVP
2 - 0
UMA
23%
24%
53%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
WAC
1 - 1
SVP
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SVP
0 - 0
MIC
20%
23%
58%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 1
SVP
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FEL
2 - 1
SVP
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |