Treibach vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
VEI
0 - 0
TRE
49%
23%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 0
EAC
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
WOL
0 - 3
TRE
55%
23%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
TRE
3 - 0
BLE
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GRI
0 - 3
TRE
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RAP
3 - 0
EAC
72%
17%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BLE
6 - 1
RAP
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SCL
0 - 1
RAP
22%
23%
56%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
RAP
3 - 0
WAC
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 2
RAP
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |