Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
CAI
80%
15%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
TFI
7%
15%
78%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 3
TPE
41%
25%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
COS
2 - 1
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
PEN
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 2
PEN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 3
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |