Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 3
TFI
45%
24%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2009 |
SJU
1 - 1
TFI
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 1
SJU
36%
23%
41%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COS
5 - 0
TFI
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
TFI
2 - 2
MUR
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
COS
0 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
COS
3 - 2
VIR
33%
24%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COS
5 - 0
TFI
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
SGI
4 - 8
COS
21%
23%
55%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
COS
0 - 3
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |