Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
TFI
2 - 0
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
TFI
1 - 1
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
DOM
1 - 1
TFI
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
TFI
2 - 0
TPE
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
TFI
3 - 1
CAI
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
TPE
1 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
COS
1 - 0
SGI
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
COS
1 - 0
FIO
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 2
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |