Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 1
TFI
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
TFI
2 - 3
VIR
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TFI
4 - 0
COS
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
COS
0 - 4
MUR
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
COS
0 - 3
DOM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TFI
4 - 0
COS
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 1
COS
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |