Træff vs Vålerenga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
12º
12º
31
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Træff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
TRA
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 3
FFC
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 3
TRA
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
NOT
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 2
GRO
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
GRO
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ORN
5 - 0
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
LYN
17%
20%
64%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
VAL
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 3
FKA
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |