Tours II vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
STP
1 - 2
TOU
37%
25%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 0
BRE
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
3 - 2
LPS
20%
24%
57%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
4 - 3
TOU
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
6 - 1
CHA
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
ANG
19%
21%
61%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHA
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AVO
2 - 1
CHA
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
LMU
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |