Toulouse Izards vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAN
2 - 0
NÎM
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ROM
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
VAN
2 - 1
NÎM
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NÎM
0 - 2
PAU
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
SPO
0 - 1
NÎM
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |