Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
53.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 0
TFC
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
REN
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SOC
3 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
ETG
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
INT
2 - 1
LIL
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
LIL
20%
25%
56%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 1
SED
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 1
LYO
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |