ASD Torviscosa vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
60.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
18º
14º
31
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Torviscosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 0
AST
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AST
0 - 1
SAN
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 1
AST
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AST
0 - 3
CJA
17%
20%
64%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACE
2 - 2
AST
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
22%
23%
54%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SDA
3 - 2
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CLO
3 - 1
MON
59%
25%
16%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |