Tortola CF vs Guadalajara C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tortola CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HOG
4 - 1
TOR
38%
21%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
4 - 3
JAD
47%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CES
0 - 3
TOR
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
USA
0 - 3
TOR
10%
15%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALM
43%
22%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalajara C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 5
ALM
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
YEB
5 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 5
DAM
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RAY
5 - 0
GUA
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 5
IBE
22%
20%
58%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |