Toros Neza vs Mérida B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 2
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
ALT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
COB
1 - 1
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2005 |
TOR
2 - 2
GUE
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
QRO
2 - 0
TOR
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
MER
71%
21%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |