Toronto Academy vs Milltown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
SER
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 1
NOR
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 1
TOR
58%
21%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
TOR
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
TOR
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milltown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
MIL
3 - 0
NOR
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
HAM
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
MIL
1 - 1
TCR
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
SHO
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 4
MIL
67%
18%
14%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |