TOP Junior vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
16º
16º
53
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TJU
1 - 1
VIT
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NGO
3 - 1
TJU
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TJU
1 - 0
TIN
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TJU
0 - 1
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MYB
5 - 1
TJU
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ANM
2 - 0
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RUK
2 - 1
ANM
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ANM
1 - 0
BUJ
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DYN
0 - 1
ANM
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ANM
1 - 0
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |