Tonga vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
TON
2%
11%
86%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
TON
1 - 4
VAN
7%
17%
76%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COK
3%
13%
84%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COK
2 - 3
SAM
39%
24%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
COK
1 - 2
VAN
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |