Tomislav DA vs NK Tomislav Cerna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1310%
+913%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
6º
3º
38
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomislav DA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SLA
3 - 1
TDA
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TDA
1 - 1
SLO
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CEP
3 - 1
TDA
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TDA
2 - 1
CRO
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NKS
2 - 3
TDA
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NK Tomislav Cerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
NKK
8%
13%
78%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
TOM
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
3 - 1
TOM
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
SLO
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CEP
1 - 1
TOM
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |