Tomislav DA vs Graničar Županja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1310%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
6º
3º
38
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomislav DA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
TDA
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NKK
1 - 0
TDA
65%
17%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TDA
2 - 0
TOM
69%
16%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SLA
3 - 1
TDA
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TDA
1 - 1
SLO
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Graničar Županja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
NKK
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 4
GRA
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
SLA
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
4 - 0
GRA
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 2
CEP
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |