Tombense vs EC Juventude analysis

Tombense EC Juventude
70 ELO 80
3.2% Tilt -9.6%
1176º General ELO ranking 141º
52º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
28.5%
Tombense
27.4%
Draw
44%
EC Juventude

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Tombense
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44%
Win probability
EC Juventude
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tombense
-9%
-8%
EC Juventude

Points and table prediction

Tombense
Their league position
EC Juventude
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
19º
18º
65
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória
72
72
100%
EC Juventude
65
65
100%
Criciúma
64
64
100%
Atlético GO
64
64
100%
Sport Recife
63
63
0%
Novorizontino
63
63
0%
Mirassol FC
63
63
0%
Vila Nova
61
61
100%
Guaraní
10º
57
57
0%
CRB
57
57
10º
0%
Ceará
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Botafogo SP
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Avaí
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Ituano
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Ponte Preta
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Chapecoense
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Sampaio Correa
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Tombense
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Londrina
19º
31
31
19º
100%
ABC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tombense
EC Juventude
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Tombense
EC Juventude
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tombense
Tombense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
VIT
Vitória
1 - 0
Tombense
TOM
57%
25%
18%
70 78 8 0
23 Sep. 2023
TOM
Tombense
0 - 0
Botafogo SP
BOT
50%
27%
23%
70 71 1 0
17 Sep. 2023
GUA
Guaraní
3 - 0
Tombense
TOM
62%
23%
15%
70 80 10 0
07 Sep. 2023
TOM
Tombense
3 - 0
ABC
ABC
54%
25%
21%
69 67 2 +1
02 Sep. 2023
LON
Londrina
1 - 1
Tombense
TOM
42%
28%
30%
69 67 2 0

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 0
Criciúma
CRI
48%
27%
24%
80 80 0 0
25 Sep. 2023
AVA
Avaí
0 - 2
EC Juventude
JUV
35%
28%
37%
79 74 5 +1
16 Sep. 2023
JUV
EC Juventude
3 - 1
CRB
CRB
44%
27%
29%
78 79 1 +1
10 Sep. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO
3 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
65%
21%
14%
79 86 7 -1
01 Sep. 2023
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
54%
26%
20%
78 72 6 +1