Tombense vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AMF
2 - 0
TOM
60%
23%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UBE
0 - 1
TOM
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 0
TRI
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 3
ATM
13%
22%
65%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TUP
0 - 1
TOM
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DEM
2 - 3
ATM
6%
15%
79%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
DEM
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
URT
4 - 1
DEM
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UBE
2 - 0
DEM
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DEM
0 - 2
AMF
14%
21%
66%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |