Tombense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 0
TOM
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 0
TOM
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 3
TOM
41%
31%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
CSA
30%
30%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
LON
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
SAM
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 1
CHA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
CRB
40%
29%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |