Tombense vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TOM
0 - 2
CAL
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TOM
3 - 1
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
TOM
3 - 0
SPO
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 0
TOM
43%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 0
TOM
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 0
ECP
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
BOT
7%
15%
78%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
BOT
15%
23%
61%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 4
BOT
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 0
CSP
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |