Tomás Greig vs Unión Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LIM
0 - 0
TOM
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
3 - 3
CHG
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DSC
2 - 0
TOM
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
3 - 3
TAL
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
CAU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 4
CAU
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PUB
2 - 4
CAS
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAL
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
REN
2 - 1
CAS
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
EST
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |