Tomás Greig vs Real San Joaquín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GVE
0 - 2
TOM
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOM
4 - 2
LAU
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 3
TOM
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TOM
1 - 0
TAL
74%
16%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
REN
2 - 2
TOM
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JOA
0 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
JOA
23%
23%
53%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 5
JOA
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
JOA
0 - 2
GVE
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 0
JOA
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |