Tomás Greig vs Independiente Cauquenes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PUB
1 - 3
TOM
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
REN
1 - 1
TOM
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 2
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ENF
0 - 2
TOM
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAU
2 - 2
TAL
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAU
3 - 0
PUB
73%
16%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAU
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAU
1 - 0
REN
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
EST
3 - 2
CAU
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |