Tomás Greig vs Estación Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 6
TOM
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 2
JOA
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GVE
0 - 2
TOM
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOM
4 - 2
LAU
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 3
TOM
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estación Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EST
5 - 1
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JOA
0 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
GVE
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LAU
0 - 1
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |